Negative dependence and stochastic orderings
ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 20 (2016), pp. 45-65.

We explore negative dependence and stochastic orderings, showing that if an integer-valued random variable W satisfies a certain negative dependence assumption, then W is smaller (in the convex sense) than a Poisson variable of equal mean. Such W include those which may be written as a sum of totally negatively dependent indicators. This is generalised to other stochastic orderings. Applications include entropy bounds, Poisson approximation and concentration. The proof uses thinning and size-biasing. We also show how these give a different Poisson approximation result, which is applied to mixed Poisson distributions. Analogous results for the binomial distribution are also presented.

Reçu le :
Accepté le :
DOI : 10.1051/ps/2016002
Classification : 60E15, 62E17, 62E10, 94A17
Mots clés : Thinning, size biasing, s-convex ordering, Poisson approximation, entropy
Daly, Fraser 1

1 Department of Actuarial Mathematics and Statistics and the Maxwell Institute for Mathematical Sciences, School of Mathematical and Computer Sciences, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, UK.
@article{PS_2016__20__45_0,
     author = {Daly, Fraser},
     title = {Negative dependence and stochastic orderings},
     journal = {ESAIM: Probability and Statistics},
     pages = {45--65},
     publisher = {EDP-Sciences},
     volume = {20},
     year = {2016},
     doi = {10.1051/ps/2016002},
     mrnumber = {3528617},
     zbl = {1384.60058},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016002/}
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Daly, Fraser
TI  - Negative dependence and stochastic orderings
JO  - ESAIM: Probability and Statistics
PY  - 2016
SP  - 45
EP  - 65
VL  - 20
PB  - EDP-Sciences
UR  - http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016002/
DO  - 10.1051/ps/2016002
LA  - en
ID  - PS_2016__20__45_0
ER  - 
%0 Journal Article
%A Daly, Fraser
%T Negative dependence and stochastic orderings
%J ESAIM: Probability and Statistics
%D 2016
%P 45-65
%V 20
%I EDP-Sciences
%U http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016002/
%R 10.1051/ps/2016002
%G en
%F PS_2016__20__45_0
Daly, Fraser. Negative dependence and stochastic orderings. ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 20 (2016), pp. 45-65. doi : 10.1051/ps/2016002. http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016002/

J.A. Adell and J. Anoz, Signed binomial approximation of binomial mixtures via differential calculus for linear operators. J. Stat. Plan. Inference 138 (2008) 3687–3695. | DOI | MR | Zbl

R. Arratia and P. Baxendale, Bounded size bias coupling: a gamma function bound, and universal Dickman-function behavior. Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 162 (2015) 411–429. | DOI | MR | Zbl

A.D. Barbour and A. Xia, On Stein’s factors for Poisson approximation in Wasserstein distance. Bernoulli 12 (2006) 943–954. | DOI | MR | Zbl

A.D. Barbour, L. Holst and S. Janson, Poisson Approximation. Oxford Univ. Press, Oxford (1992). | MR | Zbl

L.H.Y. Chen, L. Goldstein and Q.-M. Shao, Normal Approximation by Stein’s Method. Springer, Berlin (2011). | MR | Zbl

T.M. Cover and J.A. Thomas, Elements of Information Theory, 2nd edition. John Wiley and Sons, New York (2006). | MR

F. Daly, On Stein’s method, smoothing estimates in total variation distance and mixture distributions. J. Stat. Plann. Inference 141 (2011) 2228–2237. | DOI | MR | Zbl

F.A. Daly, C. Lefèvre and S. Utev, Stein’s method and stochastic orderings. Adv. Appl. Probab. 44 (2012) 343–372. | DOI | MR | Zbl

M. Denuit and C. Lefèvre, Some new classes of stochastic order relations among arithmetic random variables, with applications in actuarial sciences. Insur. Math. Econ. 20 (1997) 197–213. | DOI | MR | Zbl

M. Denuit and S. Van Bellegem, On the stop-loss and total variation distances between random sums. Statist. Probab. Lett. 53 (2001) 153–165. | DOI | MR | Zbl

M. Denuit, C. Lefèvre and S. Utev, Generalised stochastic convexity and stochastic orderings of mixtures. Probab. Engrg. Inform. Sci. 13 (1999) 275–291. | DOI | MR | Zbl

M. Denuit, J. Dhaene and C. Ribas, Does positive dependence between individual risks increase stop-loss premiums? Insur. Math. Econ. 28 (2001) 305–308. | DOI | MR | Zbl

M. Denuit, C. Lefèvre and S. Utev, Measuring the impact of dependence between claims occurrences. Insur. Math. Econ. 30 (2002) 1–19. | DOI | MR | Zbl

L. Goldstein and A. Xia, Clubbed binomial approximation for the lightbulb process. In Probability Approximations and Beyond. Edited by A.D. Barbour, H.P. Chan and D. Siegmund. Springer, New York (2012). | MR

L. Goldstein and H. Zhang, A Berry–Esseen bound for the lightbulb process. Adv. Appl. Probab. 43 (2011) 875–898. | DOI | MR | Zbl

O. Johnson, Log-concavity and the maximum entropy property of the Poisson distribution. Stochastic Process. Appl. 117 (2007) 791–802. | DOI | MR | Zbl

O. Johnson, I. Kontoyiannis and M. Madiman, Log-concavity, ultra-log-concavity, and a maximum entropy property of discrete compound Poisson measures. Discrete Appl. Math. 161 (2013) 1232–1250. | DOI | MR | Zbl

C. Lefèvre and S. Utev, Comparing sums of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. J. Appl. Probab. 33 (1996) 285–310. | DOI | MR | Zbl

N. Papadatos and V. Papathanasiou, Poisson approximation for a sum of dependent indicators: an alternative approach. Adv. Appl. Probab. 34 (2002) 609–625. | DOI | MR | Zbl

R. Pemantle, Towards a theory of negative dependence. J. Math. Phys. 41 (2000) 1371–1390. | DOI | MR | Zbl

C. Rao, M. Rao and H. Zhang, One bulb? Two bulbs? How many bulbs light up? A discrete probability problem involving dermal patches. Sankhyā 69 (2007) 137–161. | MR | Zbl

A. Röllin and N. Ross, Local limit theorems via Landau-Kolmogorov inequalities. Bernoulli 21 (2015) 851–880. | DOI | MR | Zbl

B. Roos, Improvements in the Poisson approximation of mixed Poisson distributions. J. Stat. Plann. Inference 113 (2003) 467–483. | DOI | MR | Zbl

B. Roos and D. Pfeifer, On the distance between the distributions of random sums. J. Appl. Probab. 40 (2003) 87–106. | DOI | MR | Zbl

M. Shaked and J.G. Shanthikumar, Stochastic Orders. Springer, New York (2007). | MR | Zbl

Q.-M. Shao, A comparison theorem on moment inequalities between negatively associated and independent random variables. J. Theoret. Probab. 13 (2000) 343–356. | DOI | MR | Zbl

E. Stein, Singular Integrals and Differentiability Properties of Functions. Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton (1970). | MR | Zbl

Y. Yu, On the maximum entropy properties of the binomial distribution. IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 54 (2008) 3351–3353. | DOI | MR | Zbl

Y. Yu, On the entropy of compound distributions on non-negative integers. IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 55 (2009) 3645–3650. | DOI | MR | Zbl

Cité par Sources :